December 31, 2005

Final Thoughts On Nigerian Politics 2005

The year is almost ended and this writer chooses to focus on Nigeria. An ardent supporter of the economic policies of the current Nigerian administration, this writer is however greatly disappointed the fact that the incumbent Nigerian president, Olusegun Obasanjo may like to stay in office beyond the constitutionally stipulated date of May 29, 2007, as is being reported by mainstream media outlets in Nigeria.

Voices coming out from the Nigerian Presidency (or "Aso Rock," as it is poetically described) are indicative of a place not only filled with sycophants as this writer once thought, but psychopaths as well. For instance, when American State Department Officials warned against Mr. Obasanjo seeking a third term, the response from the Presidential spokesman was that America should mind its business. Quoting him verbatim, as reported by the BBC:
"We in our country, and certainly our president, does not need lessons in democracy, or in constitutional rule, or indeed in interpreting constitutional rule from anybody, least of all people from outside our shores."

The trick being used to silence anyone who speaks against a third-term is the fact that Mr. Obasanjo is yet to come out and state that he intends running for a third-term, though there happen to be groups calling on him not to leave in 2007. A debate on an amendment to the constitution to make this possible is expected to begin in a few weeks time. The Nigerian Punch Newspaper (article may not be archived) quotes a Federal official in Nigeria who states that plans are on the ground to convince the World Bank and governments of Great Britain and the United States as to why Mr. Obasanjo should remain in office. One cannot however think that these bodies/nations are stupid enough to buy into such, and it can only be hoped that the United States would put sufficient pressure on the Nigerian government to respect the constitution by which it was sworn into office.

The Nigerian government needs to be very careful about how it reacts to comments that come from Washington. This is the same government that sells a significant chunk of its oil to the United States and which happens to be currently seeking direct air links between Lagos and New York. Angering the folks in Washington could only be to Nigeria's disadvantage. The United States Congress on its part should not buy into any amendment of the Nigerian constitution that allows the current president to stay in office beyond 2007. Sufficient pressure must be brought to the fore to compel this government to leave office if it chooses not to.

Nobody is indispensable in Nigeria, not even the president, and if the rulers of Nigeria refuse to respect the law, they should be compelled to by external bodies which have the power. Until African societies begin to respect the written words enshrined in their constitutions, economic development and human empowerment, which benefit most people in society and not a tiny elitist clique, would remain mirages.

Happy New Year.

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8 Comments:

It's very clever. Pretend like he doesn't want a third term but then 'grudgingly accept' when 'popular demand' makes him changes his mind. The problem with saying he should respect the rule of law as your main argument is that if they change the constitution, he's respecting the rule of law. I thinkt he more compelling argument is that the two term limit was instituted for a purpose, to prevent presidencies for life, to prevent overdependency on a single individual. If they change the constitution for him, Nigeria is going back to the bad old days of relying on the beneficience of individuals instead of building strong (non-military) institutions.
Posted by Blogger Brian at January 1, 2006 3:22 PM  
Changing the constitution will not represent respect for the rule of law. Mr. Obasanjo came into office swearing to uphold the current constitution which clearly states for how long he can serve. Altering the constitution to extend his tenure will be illegal and immoral, as well as reminiscent of the days of the late dictator, General Sani Abacha.

The two-term limit was borrowed from the American constitution. I really hope the United States will strongly kick against Mr. Obasanjo spending an extra day in office. The guys in Abuja really appear to be out of their minds. Anyone who speaks against a third-term is openly insulted – from U.S. State Department Officials, to the Roman Catholic Archbishop of Abuja and General Yakubu Gowon, one time military ruler of Nigeria.

Absolute power corrupts absolutely and in Nigeria, the executive arm of government appears to be in full control of the judiciary and legislature (they are meant to operate independently in reality). That is why legal experts cannot agree on whether a modification to the constitution will be legal or not. Unequivocal statements from the United States calling on Mr. Obasanjo not to extend his tenure of office will be most welcome.
Posted by Blogger Chippla Vandu at January 1, 2006 3:50 PM  
Since I dropped violent ideology in my revolutionary struggles, because of my Christian faith, I wonder if I have not made a terrible mistake.

Fela Anikulapo-Kuti is not around to harass and embarrass these greedy and tyrannical Nigerian politicians. So, they are making fun of the masses of Nigeria. And I wonder who can shut them up for good.

I wonder if I should go back underground and become an assassin.

If OBJ wants to become another Robert Mugabe, then he has made the worst mistake of his life.
Posted by Blogger Orikinla Osinachi. at January 2, 2006 8:47 PM  
I will repeat it - Chief Obasanjo is not going to remain in office in 2007.
Posted by Blogger Anthony Arojojoye at January 3, 2006 12:01 AM  
Whether or not Obasanjo would like to be in office beyond May 2007, his spokesman needs to be re-schooled in the art of diplomacy. What one hears aren't words from a well-trained diplomat meant to be the mouthpiece of the president, but a man drunk with and blinded by power.

This spokesman, who seems to be doing his master's bidding very well, happens to be all out to blemish anyone who speaks against a third-term that some members of the Nigerian elite (yes! we know them) are currently agitating for.

What happened to democracy and respect for diversity of opinions, or are they bent on converting Nigeria to North Korea?!!!
Posted by Blogger Chippla Vandu at January 3, 2006 8:20 AM  
A very touching and honest post, Chippla.

I think that this is a situation where the powers that be in Washington D.C. and leading diplomats and leaders from other governments and world bodies should work diligently and quietly behind the scenes to convince the present administration in Abuja to respect the present constitution of Nigeria.

America can ill afford to appear to be lecturing such an important African leader and ally as President Obansanjo about what he must and must not do regarding internal political matters of his own country.

Obasanjo should be able to figure this out for himself. He stands to gain a great deal by stepping down at the end of his term and turning over the reigns of power to a new democratically-elected president. He should be wise enough by now not to be persuaded by greedy advisors or misguided supporters to ammend the constitution just to hold on to power a while longer. If he needs some help in this area, he should call up President Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf of Liberia for advice.

AND Orikinla, it is not wise to suggest (online) the whacking of the President just because you are unhappy about what he might be contemplating. Let's wait and see how this scenario develops in 2006.

Having said that, somebody needs to do something quick about President Museveni and Emperor Robert Mugabe before I have to go underground and start some real serious trouble down there in the hood.
Posted by Blogger Black River Eagle at January 3, 2006 4:14 PM  
We boys do like to talk tough, don't we? :-) Anyway, I don't think he's going to stay.

I think President Obasanjo is surprised by the stiff opposition to his third term bid from all quarters and he's going have to look for a different way to achieve his political objectives.

I don't understand most of Femi Fani-Kayode's recent utterances, but I hope he'll be recalled to Abuja for some re-orientation before he does any serious damage!
Posted by Anonymous Seun Osewa at January 4, 2006 3:36 PM  
That Obasanjo even comprehended a third-term is baffling. I want to believe that when people obtain power, they cease being normal. The Americans found this out almost 250 years ago. That's why they ensured that power never rested in the arms of one man. The legislature and judiciary were put in place to check the executive. But in Nigeria, which seems to be copying the American democratic system, the executive scares every other arm of government into submission.

Mr. Obasanjo's spokesman's utterances have been very careless. But is one expected to believe that he speaks of his own free will without the backing of the presidency?
Posted by Blogger Chippla Vandu at January 4, 2006 9:42 PM  

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