April 27, 2005
From Gnassingbé I to Gnassingbé II?
Faure Gnassingbé emerges victorious from the just concluded presidential election held in Togo. The son of the late dictator, Gnassingbé Eyadema, he was installed to lead the Togolese republic following the death of his father. Since the country's constitution had to be altered for this to happen, international pressure was put on Faure Gnassingbé to step down and organize elections. Left with little choice and under intense pressure predominantly from the West African regional body, ECOWAS, he stepped down.
While residents of Lome, the Togolese capital seem to be up in arms against this dynastic succession, other parts of the country seem less concerned, judging from media reports. Even before the election was held, there had been reports of strong Gnassingbé support in the north of the county, with the opposition holding strongly to the south.
To its own peril, the opposition fielded a septuagenarian, Bob Akitani, as its candidate, though its main spokesperson happened to be Gilchrist Olympio, the son of Togo's former president, from whom Gnassingbé Eyadema ceased power. In a nation in need of dynamic leadership, a youthful and well-educated Faure Gnassingbé could easily outclass the elderly Bob Akitani. However, the opposition continues to stick to its claim that the election was rigged in favor of Faure Gnassingbé, and has so far out rightly refused to recognize the results.
Violence will continue to mar Togo for days and possibly weeks to come but talks of a civil war are over-exaggerated. Sandwiched between regional powerhouse, Nigeria and a significantly more powerful neighbor, Ghana, tiny Togo will definitely not go the way of Liberia or Sierra Leone. Should external intervention become necessary to maintain peace and stability, let it be, so long as the forces in question are not openly allied to any of the parties – this clearly rules out France.
Peace in West Africa seems so elusive. At a time when Liberia and Sierra Leone are recovering from years of civil war, and the Ivory Coast finally shows signs of ending its three-year conflict, tiny Togo flares up. One consolation this time around however is that Togo seems like a country which can easily be placated. With the Nigerian capital Abuja having become the 'meeting point' for the resolution of Togo's political problems, expect to see more flights from Lome to Abuja should the violence continue unabated.
Related blog article: The short reign of Faure Gnassingbé.
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Posted by Chippla Vandu, 3:15 PM
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6 Comments:
Posted by
Brian at April 27, 2005 4:42 PM
Brian at April 27, 2005 4:42 PM
So what do you think? Is there any reason to suspect the elections were rigged? Esp. since Gnassingbe enjoys the support of the North?
Posted by He at May 2, 2005 7:11 PM
I doubt one can have state-conducted elections in West Africa without some degree of manipulation. Ghana, Senegal and probably Mali might just be able to organize elections that meet international standards. But Nigeria, Togo, Cameroon…I doubt it. At least, not yet.
But news reports seem to indicate that Faure Gnassingbé had such popular support that he may just have truly won the popular vote. It would be nice to get hold of a Togolese-based blogger and hear his/her opinion. Unfortunately, my French is far from conversational.
Posted by Chippla Vandu at May 2, 2005 7:20 PM
In response to Brian's post:
"And I'm surprised the opposition couldn't use Akitani's age to his advantage…" I'm not so conversant with Togolese politics but, based on my knowledge of West Africa, I would want to think that most young people would rather vote for vigorous, youthful and vibrant presidents than septuagenarians.
President Kibaki of Kenya defeated Kenyatta's son (Uhuru Kenyatta), who was youthful, for two reasons in my opinion:
1. Kenyatta jnr was directly supported by Arap-Moi, a name that was synonymous with corruption, dictatorship and everything wrong with Kenya. Most Kenyans were fed up with Moi's KANU party and really looked forward to a new dawn.
2. Kenyatta jnr was far from charismatic. On television, he appeared shy and incompetent (not that he was, anyway). And I would want to think that many Kenyans believed Kenyatta jnr was simply doing Moi's bidding. As long as Moi was alive, he would continue to rule indirectly through Uhuru Kenyatta. So getting rid of Kenyatta was in effect getting rid of Moi.
Posted by Chippla Vandu at May 2, 2005 7:32 PM
Like I said, Chippla, when you've had 37 years of unpleasant rule by a single strongman, having a guy who will likely serve one term isn't the worst thing in the world. Relatively old age wasn't a problem for Abdoulaye Wade in Senegal.
As for Uhuru Kenyatta's weaknesses that you mentioned, both of those equally applied to Gnassingbé II.
The difference is that Moi, for all his well documented faults, opened up the political system in Kenya a bit more than Gnassingbé I did in Togo.
As for 'he,' it's hard to know if the elections were rigged or not. I think Togo and many other countries should have independent autonomous electoral commissions.
I wonder if the ECOWAS executive can't create an ECOWAS Elections body that can run elections in controversial circumstances (Togo, Cote d'Ivoire are current examples).
Posted by Brian at May 3, 2005 4:29 PM
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/4509107.stm
Posted by Brian at May 3, 2005 5:56 PM









You neglect to mention that Gilchrist Olympio was banned from standing as a candidate because he lived abroad following Gnassinbgé I's attempt on his life. Bob Akitani was the only opposition figure, besides Olympio, to have much stature.
And I'm surprised the opposition couldn't use Akitani's age to his advantage, like Mwai Kibaki did in Kenya. After 37 years of Gnassingbé I, is it really the worst thing in the world to have a leader who may only serve one or two terms?